RE: oldskool2 Feb 2020 09:56
Troajan. You are correct, I did miss your post, been busy. In particularly reviewing the future of a couple of investments. Cash increase looks good for me as the markets are proper crap and Donald can only do so much. Anway, back on point. I struggle to answer your questions/points or comments. They barely make sense at times. Could you try writing the information on a word document and cutting them over...I am not being foul, I am being serious. It is a start.
So I will try to answer what I think is a question. I merely pointed out that taking this private is a real risk and is part of my risk profile. To ignore it is foolish. I have no idea whether WRES will be a good investment for the BOD or PI's, the BOD are not demi-gods and can get it wrong. I do not think it is a good investment for me right now. This has been proven to be the case since I sold out over the summer period. I am glad I sold at out when I did. Would I buy back in right now, absolutely not. Unless MM reveals some magic numbers in the next few days then definitely not. Lets see what the numbers are coming out of the kit (still no news on any compensations is there?). I certainly do not believe the OPEX costs. CAPEX was off too wasn't it. BUT, MM is a CFO god according to some. The debt level is above my risk profile too. 2.5x mcap with no evidence to suggest the minimum payments can be met. Ouch. People talk a bout the grant. 18 months ago that would have been bonus money but now it will need to pay debt, extra debt. Ouch. When is that Spanish loan up? Lets hope the grant arrives in time.
Why do you assume taking it private must come from MM and the present BOD? MM appears to be lining up some local money, they are well within their rights to buy MM out. None of us know what is going on behind closed doors. Equally it may be about to become a money fountain, i hope so. I will miss out. It may spike, even a bagger and those that have held deserve it. Some need a bagger just to get close to break even. That is not investing. That is gambling. Needing a 100% rise just to get your money back is a terrible state of affairs. Truly terrible, people worked hard for that money, why blow it? Get out, buy in again. Protect capital. Find me any literature or any EXPERIENCED investor that would say such a strategy is a good one.
Look at companies that have been taken private. There is a theme. A good investment for the BOD is not always a good investment for PI's, sometimes it is not a good investment for either. Everyone gets it wrong, everyone. I may ultimately get this wrong but so far I am not 50% down (I would have been if I had held) and made some good money elsewhere. No dogs in 2020 so far...so far. I am sure there will be one or two but I wont lose my shirt. I have lost money, early on into my AIM adventure. Good money can be made in the main markets without so many risks. Time will tell hey.