RE: Target price?6 Nov 2015 09:34
Dancy - there isno simple answer to that IMO
Brutally - I'd just like to get back above my 1.5p average but in reality, if the news over the next month starts to rebuild some general confidence then it is very difficult to predict.
When Togo lands, that project alone has the ability, at very low capex, to start generating decent cash, which will make the group self supporting. At that point, you'd have to consider a MC of £20m to be reasonable, if not cheap.
Historically, when the AA/Kumba deal was in progress in Gabon, we were priced at our height at 2.65p, with a broker target of 10.4p. If DR is now about to re-introduce a JV or something similar to bring that asset back into play, and as indicated, create a setup that is independent of global IO markets then who knows, but 5p-8p should be achievable, especially if both of these elements land.
Although some short term trading opportunities will undoubtedly be attractive (and allow some to escape above these very low prices), this investment has always been about the end game for each of the 4 individual projects.
The BoD track record is excellent in this regard with over $1Bn sales in previous endeavours. I appreciate that the world is a different place right now, but that won't last forever and with the level of BoD investment near 25-30%, I can't see them walking away before they make a mint.
All IMO GLA