Member Info for Oettko

I read the other day that there are reforms that can be implemented by executive orders. Those will be done before the election. Everything regarding the constitution or laws that need parliamentary approval are going to implemented after the election. Still from what I understood is there an argument over the legal status of the July Declaration with Jammar + NCP opposing BNP. so this could be interesting to see unfold the next weeks

He posted a lot at on the ATC.L board. What you are trying is really cheap

His first post on at the GCM board was on 28 Jun 2024. That's over 5 years later

Https://www.daily-sun.com/post/811572

I agree with everything you wrote especially the last sentence. The point I wanted to make is that this budget / coal info was presented as if it was a reflection on the ability of Phulbari to progress in the first place .I can’t see it that way and this is the only argument I wanted to make.

@Digi: Have a look on pages 48 to 50 of this presentation. There they even state that it's all about Bara and an increase of 0,5 lakh metric ton coal extraction of the existing operation. Chapter 3 of this presentation lists all the projects where money is allocated to and chapter 3 doesn't even mention coal.

This is not an argument against the Phulbari project not at all! I just don't see the connection. The seminar was held end in february as far as I remember. The draft of the budget takes time and was worked on during the first month of the year. As things take ages to progress in Bangla do you really think they move from discussing to decision to implementing a budget in 3 month without any public announcement?

Couldn’t this refer just to the ongoing operation in Barapukuria? They clearly said they’ll revise the coal policy framework and leave the decision to the next government. It’s hard to believe they allocate money in a very constrained budget to something that has to be decided on yet and that will be relevant in the fiscal year 26/27 earliest.

Seems like the announcement of a specific date will take some time. However the EC is ready to deliver.

Under the Representation of the People Order (RPO), the EC can only announce the election schedule, typically 55 to 60 days in advance, via gazette notification. “The law does not permit setting an election date six to eight months ahead,” he clarified.

https://www.daily-sun.com/post/809325

One of Chief Adviser Prof Muhammad Yunus’s most talked-about theories is the “three zeros” concept. Ironically, the interim government under his leadership seems to have implemented it by demonstrating complete failure – zero reform, zero justice and zero neutrality – throughout the past ten months.

https://www.daily-sun.com/post/808872

He first published a research report on 07.04.2020 behind a paywall for lifetime member. Check the volume and move in price the next day. Since then there were several updates mostly leading to spikes in volume and price followed by a consolidation and drifting down of the price. I have the impression that it's more like a single and limited increase in activity than a shift to constant buying. These days he just published a tiny update where he referred to the change in US coal policy. You have to consider that a lot of his readers are already invested probably for years and that we have now only new members getting in or some top ups. At least this is my guess. So I would not overestimate the implications of the last update. However, there is probably a significant amount of stock put away for the bigger price.

Swen Lorenz published a research report about GCM years ago on his website undervalued-shares.com. Today he published a monthly update and highlighted GCM as the number one takeaway. There is always a heavy spike in stocks with low luiqidity when he publishes something as among his readers are some pretty wealthy individuals.

If they really try to pull this off they would have the people on the streets supported by the army. The other day I read an article accounting 1% to the NCP in a national government, which seems realistic. I can't imagnine how they would get 25% in a fair election, which is as much as the BNP would get in this proposal....

https://www.daily-sun.com/post/808278

The situation gets worse by the day on every front. An we are probably aware only of a fraction what is really happening. I can't imagine the Interim Government will make it till June 26... I guess they will be lucky when they survive until years end.

The interim government, led by Dr Muhammad Yunus, took office in August last year with overwhelming public support. But what have we gained in ten months? With each passing day, this administration seems to be mimicking the same authoritarian traits of the ousted Awami League regime.

The revolution was supposed to usher in a new order. But there’s little sign of that progress. Like the AL government, this one also blames the opposition for every failure and sees conspiracies everywhere. Dr Yunus, much like Sheikh Hasina, has now been busy making foreign trips and collecting honorary doctorate degrees from obscure universities. Denial of reality and a lack of transparency and accountability have returned. The people ask, “Where is the peace?”

https://www.daily-sun.com/post/808102

The rapid decline of NCP's youthful leadership, once hailed as the moral vanguard of the July-August revolution, has shocked many. They were once the beacon of hope to the public, held in affection and admired as if they were divine messengers of liberty. But in under a year, that goodwill has been squandered. Extortion, lobbying, mob activity and power abuse have tarnished their image.

The NCP, barely two months into its formal existence as a political party, has already been tattered by internal divisions, public scandal and a deficit of political maturity. Some of its top leaders now appear disoriented, lacking the vision or discipline necessary to navigate the demands of public leadership. This was not the future anyone hoped for—neither for the nation nor for the youth who once inspired it.

https://www.daily-sun.com/post/808103

While supporters of Yunus continue to project him as the sole leader to head the so-called efforts to reform Bangladeshi institutions to “prevent the rise of fascism” in the future by upholding the values of liberal democracy, recent incidents illustrate that under Yunus’ leadership, the interim government is doing quite the opposite.

........

A major obstacle to uniting stakeholders appears to be the interim government’s bias towards the reform ideas promoted by the newly formed NCP, often disregarding the suggestions of other prominent political actors.

The root of the problem began when the reform commissions were constituted. Many members of the student-led NCP joined the key reform commissions as ‘student representatives’ and had a direct say in drafting the reform proposals. In contrast, other major parties only had the opportunity to submit their ideas, which were largely ignored.

The NCP, which is only three months old and has fewer than a dozen committees nationwide, has been observed as having direct and privileged access to the chief adviser and other advisers. This access has enabled the NCP to influence and even shape the policies of the interim government, while other parties struggle to articulate their legitimate demands.

......

The visibly discriminatory treatment of the demands of different political groups and those from the NCP have increased the trust deficit between the major political parties and the government. Nurul Haq Nur, a student leader who now leads Gono Odhikar Parishad, told a newspaper that the Yunus-led government is not sharing any roadmap because it wants to help a new party, the NCP, to organize. He alleged that the NCP has been receiving patronage from the government. Some political analysts also suggest that Yunus and his interim government are quietly backing and perhaps guiding the student-led political party from behind the scenes.

https://thediplomat.com/2025/06/why-bangladeshs-muhammad-yunus-is-not-committing-to-early-elections/

Https://www.daily-sun.com/post/807892

She is calling out the interim government on point...

https://www.daily-sun.com/post/807724

“This turmoil has arisen due to the interim government’s incapacity to run the state. The protests by government employees pressing home their demands are signs of weak governance,”

“It appears this government has a tendency to impose decisions on the people. After all, it is not a political government and lacks the experience to run the state. Therefore, it should hand over power to an elected government to avoid widespread disorder,”

https://www.daily-sun.com/post/807132

Another state visit, another 1 billion loan...

https://www.daily-sun.com/post/806840