Positive news17 Oct 2015 11:52
Shahruck Khan, entrepreneurial chief executive officer of Oracle Coalfields (ORCP), says he is now ‘working towards financial closure’ for the company’s $1.5 billion (974 million) project to develop a potential 1.4billion-tonne lignite (brown coal) mine and 600-megawatt power station in south-eastern Pakistan, following a key consortium agreement with Shandong Electric Power Corporation (SEPCO) of China.
Under the deal, AIM-quoted Oracle, whose shares were floated at 10p four years ago and have bounced from a 0.37p low last winter to 2.02p now, will have 90% of Thar Electricity, a local operating company set up to run the power plant. SEPCO, which will have 10%, is expected to put in between $20 and $30 million in staged funding.
Oracle, which wants to develop the Block V1 licence, holding an estimated formal resource of 529 million tonnes and formal reserves of 113 million tonnes in the inhospitable Thar desert within electricity-starved Pakistan’s Sindh Province, is awaiting several other milestones, too. The company, whose petition for a pricing regime resulting in a 20% rate of return was recently accepted by the authorities, is awaiting a letter of intent guaranteeing payments from local utilities for Thar’s output, which ‘could take several weeks,’ says Khan, pointing out it depends on pricing agreements.
Having raised £3.4 million last February at 0.65p and now valued at £18.4 million, Oracle, which lost £709,000 in 2014 and another £528,500 in the six months to June, hopes to have the project’s pricing tariffs finalised with the authorities before too long. Aiming to reach a final investment decision on the project by the end of this year, he says the company is working on a 70-30 debt to equity funding package and is hopeful ’other interested parties will come aboard.’
Khan, who says Oracle is negotiating on binding engineering and production contracts and cites various tax and other incentives made available by the government, indicates the company aims to start developing the project next year. He suggests that if all goes well, to have Thar’s Block V1 in production two or three years after that.
The present Thar project, which was previously estimated to cost nearly $880 million to put into effect, would involve production of four million tonnes of lignite a year to feed a 600 Megawatt power station. But Khan says Oracle has bigger ambitions, with the stated intention of taking the project to a second stage, where it will be able to feed a 1,200-mewgawatt power station, a goal which is expected to have the support of the government, conscious of Pakistan’s parlous power supply position.
If Oracle can attract credible new backers in addition to its present supporters and if the present funding and pricing talks go well and if Pakistan’s perceived political risk does not prove a deterrent, the shares could rally further.