SP Decline20 Nov 2025 15:55
I agree - undervalued if looking at the current SP to current NAV, which is largely the property portfolio less debt.
The SP is taking a hit for a couple of reasons. Unite's occupancy rates have fallen by a couple of percentage point (to around 95%) and Empiric, which Unite is looking to acquire, has also noted a reduction in occupancy rates to just shy of 90%. The market will be looking to assess whether the downturn in occupancy rates continues or just a blip.
The key metric (which is likely not to be available to shareholders) is to what extent are reductions/discounts in room rates evident to maintain occupancy rates, however this will be borne out in the margin line. The worst case scenario is that occupancy rates continue to fall and also that room rates also fall/discounting increases in order to help fill rooms.
The future increase in tuition fees will not help, as will the trend for students to favour Universities close to where they live to avoid moving into PBSA.