RE: Saturday18 Oct 2025 22:33
My lithium thoughts, polished by ChatGPT for clarity and accuracy:
I’d be very cautious with lithium miners right now, especially the pre-production ones. The market’s oversupplied, prices have fallen hard, and there’s real competition emerging. Sodium-ion batteries are finally moving from the lab to production — CATL, the world’s biggest battery maker, has announced a new sodium-ion battery with around 175 Wh/kg energy density, a much wider temperature range (−40 °C to +70 °C), and far better safety and cycle life than standard lithium-ion cells. They’re also expected to be cheaper, thanks to the abundance of sodium.
If these batteries perform as claimed and reach mass production on schedule, they could start taking share from lithium-ion in cost-sensitive markets and entry-level EVs. That doesn’t mean lithium’s going away — it’ll still dominate for higher-energy applications for a long time — but the shift could put a lid on lithium prices for a while. All told, I’d avoid speculative lithium plays until the market finds its footing.