"F u t u r e s aid volatile lithium mkt: S u p p l y seen as k ey risk."-Fastmkt,21.9.2121 Sep 2021 15:28
"F u t u r e s aid volatile lithium mkt: S u p p l y seen as k e y risk."-Fastmarkets, Tus, 21 Sep 2021
"The industry used to rely on f i x e d pricing, which meant that someone always won and someone always lost. Both Chicago Mercantile Exchange & London Metal Exchange have l a u n c h e d FUTURES contracts based on Fastmarkets lithium prices."
"Longer term, the biggest risk facing the industry is LACK OF SUPPLY. Lithium demand is set to grow about 150,000 tonnes this yr, to a total of almost 500,000 tonnes, from 320,000 tonnes according to Jimenez."
"A lack of investment & the time it takes to bring a mine to production are key risks in getting that supply a/c to Will Adams, head of battery metals research at Fastmarkets. It can take as little AS TWO YEARS to build a downstream facility...."
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Comment:
Futures as above is now a NEW development in price discovery and moving from fixed contracts usually from 1 co to another. Pilbara Minerals as we saw from CNBC International is now selling via a online a u c t i o n platform.
TIME TAKEN TO DO A DFS
I found an example from Piedmont. Title: "Piedmont launches DFS for concentrate operations, 2 Dec 2020 RNS/ANN..
"DFS will study a 160k/yr quarry and SPODUMENE concentrate. DFS is expected to be completed in MID-2021 with a CONSTRUCTION decision to follow."
So, from 2 Dec 2020 on announcement of DFS commencement to mid-2021 is a---- short 7 months.---
Thereafter, Piedmont will make a Construction decision.
One can see from Core Lithium [Finniss lithium spodumene project], that upon a Investment Decision , production will be END 2022 - appears to be able 1 YR TO FACILITATE PRODUCTION.
I had hoped that others who are investors [as opposed to traders who are interested in share price] will take the initiative to post what are significant developments relating to lithium prices etc. This will mean that more than 1 person will provide some info. I went through the interims of IRR yesterday and found quite a lot of info.
From Brookings on Twitter yesterday, Ghana is hoping that tourism etc will help with unemployment. So, it is helpful given that Ghana will welcome IRR*s lithium project which will bring in revenue and therefore taxes to the country, not excluding employment.
To read and check, kindly call up the titles. As for caps, I use it for my own benefit. When I want to look up dates, resource size etc to reference lithium projects, its is easy when I check my profile and can see the info in caps more easily than to read thru everything. I can be concise but it will mean that in Canada, others will have to be nuanced in what is happening. Eg, I could just type : Lithium price - Futures have been launched. LoL - would anyone be able to catch any info from that. Hence, it needs explanations like fixed contracts in the past, auction PLS on 14.9.21 and now futures and what it means etc.