RE: Rhum22 May 2018 13:53
So the RNS is saying, that the deal is still alive and being targeted for completion in Q3.
So, "do the deal", I say, regardless of the sanctions.
Why, the income from 1/1/18 until the 6 months Trumps wind-down is complete (Mid November) would give SQZ more than sufficient funds to pay BP �12.8m and leave excessive cash for banking.
The deal is structured in such a way that the % over the next few years that BP get from production, if shut down would NIL, and the annual payments considerably reduced due to threshold production levels on Rhum not being met. More importantly keeps the gas in the ground for SQZ to extract latter at full value, with possibly 100% income to SQZ ( depending upon restart of Rhum if after 2021).
Our all important reserves figure will still include Rhum, sanctions or not !
Don't forget, we will still have income from the other 2 fields in the deal and would be looking at least in excess of $50m in the bank imo.
With Erskine back online, we could end 2018 with PRODUCTION at 8,000boepd, +$50m cash in hand, no debt and reserves of +50 mmboe that put us as the 3rd largest quoted NS independent.
Now you see why the SP bounced well, real value here, regardless of sanctions. In one way sanctions would help the long-term value of the deal be in favour of SQZ.
GLA