RE: Weekend chat suggestion - opening price on Monday?5 Apr 2020 10:48
"but looks like that is going to be delayed until the middle of the week..."
That's because OPEC+ wants to get everyone on board with the cuts .... not just SA/US/Russia. Cuts can be made now, but the 3 big players want everyone singing from the same hymn sheet imo.
The members of OPEC+ will have been suffering too and know this is serious, non-agreement could spell the end for whole countries and their regime, let alone their O&G industry, so I see no reason why they will not all cut. In fact, so long as the US fall in line, I can see bigger cuts than 10-15mmboe. In deed they will put cut upon cut until POO stabilises at ~$40 imo. That should be sufficient for OPEC+ producers to still operate at a profit, but still inflict a degree of pain to US shale producers .... who lets be honest, have had it easy until now.
If for some reason they fail to agree, well then, I despair for their lack of humanity in these exception times.
aimo