RE: Can’t hold it back31 Jul 2020 11:54
Not to labour the point, but I'll just respond to your points.
"Surely continued dollar weakness is going to be good for gold though" - why would weakness against other fiat currencies be good for gold? By definition it is good for those other fiat currencies as they can therefore buy more dollar-based assets with their currencies. Note however, that does NOT include gold. It may be priced in dollars but it is effectively a separate "currency" and as demonstrated moves in a non-correlated way. This can be easily seen by looking at the gold price in all currencies, for example, does a weakening dollar allow you to buy more gold in sterling? No! However it does mean you can buy more US property or bonds, etc.
"As the value of $ drops, many will turn to gold to protect against devaluation of their wealth and drive up the price" - that is not untrue, however I would argue most dollar-based investors are invested in assets not sitting in cash so that effect will be minimal. US stocks are seen to be doing well so most will be invested there. However if US stock start falling then I'd expect to see more investors move into gold.
"The devaluation of the dollar should also make it cheaper for Chinese and Indians to buy gold again driving up demand" - No, as we've already seen the gold price is moving higher in all currencies.
If you believe that the DXY and gold price are correlated it is a hard concept to let go of, but all you need to do is look at the chart I linked, believe your own eyes and let go of any incorrect preconceptions! ;)