RE: Payment10 Oct 2023 11:33
Anyone who has been following the Apple press on Vision Pro and the lead-up to its final presentation to the public back in June at the WWDC, will recognise that the device was originally expected to be shown back in 2022, then it became early 2023, then spring 2023. Finally it appeared in June, however with a delayed release with no fixed date, just an 'early 2024'.
I think Apple would have preferred to have left the initial showing until next year or perhaps later this year, but too many leaks and speculation meant that they probably had their hand forced.
Apple are really pushing the limits of tech with this device and it's not without its issues. Pundits are now saying it's too heavy, and Apple are working hard to shed weight for the next model.
I realise it's presumptive to think the sensors are earmarked for the Vision Pro, but really at this stage I can't think of another product that's better suited to using enhanced infrared sensors.
Some have mentioned cars as the use, well that may well be in time, although I'm not sure if they've got round the issues of extreme heat that can affect the use of QD materials in cars.
With repeated delays in production outside of Nanoco's control, they could easily have found themselves in a situation where they needed more cash by 2025, and if financial conditions at the time made a cash raise difficult, your investment looks somewhat on shaky ground.
There's an awful lot of changes going on in display at present. Korean OEM's are facing some very tough competition from China. In many ways they look to be in a similar position to where the Japanese OEMS were before LCD screens became ubiquitous. The Koreans took a chance on LCD and won , but now they've sold all their LCD plants to China, as they can't compete with their labour rates.
The Koreans now seem to be focusing on OLED and MicroLED, but the volume of sales is much smaller and I can see LCD remaining as the predominant screen tech for the next ten to fifteen years ahead- the tech is mature and for most consumers it's good enough, especially when youi add in things like mini-LED and QD's.
Consequently it may be the likes TCL and Hisense that become the major players in the next few years for TV's taking the crown from Samsung and LG.
Whether Nanoco benefit from that will depend I think on how well they can protect their IP. It may prove to be that they cannot monetise it beyond 2028 if the seeding patents are the main thing preventing others from making dots.