Malcy1 Aug 2019 17:16
malcy fwiw
"I wrote briefly about RockRose last week on return to the market post completion of the Marathon deal and the paperwork being completed, with a promise to finalise thoughts this week. Since then I have spoken to the company and had a chance to assess the numbers which continue to look very positive indeed.
The numbers speak for themselves, production and reserves have effectively doubled and if the Marathon assets are like others acquired, will naturally increase with time along with a diminution of decommissioning costs being deferred. The company bought shares back when they couldn’t find any better investments than their own stock and have paid one off dividends in the past. This leads me to believe that although not yet elucidated formally, a dividend policy might be forthcoming as cash will continue to pour off the company.
I am taking off the unrestricted cash of £17 per share (restricted is a short £6 in addition) adding the predicted EBITDA with the Marathon assets and get to a target price in excess of £37.50 per share, if further acquisitions, and I am sure there will be some, are as cheap as the historic ones, that valuation will look conservative. For once RRE won’t be suspended during summer maintenance of the bucket list so they will enter this month."