FT1 Jul 2015 08:53
Rio and X2: coal-hearted: X2 Resources, the new mining venture run by former Xstrata Chief Mick Davis, is one of them — and has $5.6 billion in cash to invest. Happily, Rio Tinto has a sub-scale Australian coal business on its books at $3.1 billion. Bidders have been sniffing around, and X2 is one of them. While it looks like a deal waiting to happen, it is not that simple. X2 is not the only possible buyer. Lurking in the background is Glencore, the world’s largest coal producer. In many ways it offers a better fit. Glencore’s Australian assets sit very close to Rio’s mines in the Hunter Valley and it should save money just by consolidating all Rio’s assets, producing about 50 million tonnes annually. To buy them, though, Glencore would probably need to raise its leverage or sell some equity, thinks S&P. Its net debt is already twice earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (or over four times ebitda if the value of inventories is excluded from the calculation). There are other issues. Any bid from the foreign-backed X2 (TPG Capital and Noble Group are the key investors) would probably require approval from Australia’s Foreign Investment Review Board, given Rio’s importance to the country’s coal output. And one of its backers may not have the staying power; Singapore-listed Noble Group is fending off questions about its own funding and its shares have dropped by a third this year.