ERM15 Nov 2012 14:19
Outlook
The uncertainty over Europe remains, as does a solution to the pending US fiscal cliff. Meanwhile global financial institutions face the combined challenges of difficult markets, increased capital requirements and a tougher regulatory environment. Inevitably they have responded by cutting costs, particularly people, and exiting some parts of their business. The board expects this challenging trading background to continue at least into the early part of 2013.
Subscriptions account for half the group's revenues and therefore provide some protection against weak markets in 2013, as does the group's reliance on emerging markets for more than a third of its revenues. However, the negative trends in advertising and delegate revenues in the last quarter are expected to continue into the first quarter of financial year 2013, although the outlook for event sponsorship is more positive. First quarter trading has started in line with the board's expectations but as usual at this time, forward revenue visibility beyond the first quarter is limited, other than for subscriptions.
For 2013, the group plans to continue its programme of investing in the digital transformation of its publishing businesses and in improving the quality of its products. The board is confident its strategy for investing in new products and digital publishing and using its strong balance sheet to fund acquisitions, its exposure to emerging markets, and its tight control of operating costs will continue to sustain it through these difficult market conditions. As the world economy begins an albeit slow recovery, financial and other markets will also gradually improve, enhancing our prospects.