RE: Early bird says3 Oct 2017 16:23
tradedesk "if Bell does nail Rosa any rerate could be quite explosive here"
That's just rampy rhetoric I'm afraid.
We've seen with other projects like El Limon and Shoats Creek and DNi etc that people vastly over hype the prospects of each new project as it comes along. You have to wait for ACTUAL production to begin and ACTUAL revenue to start coming in and then assess just how much it is. The previous ramping of the Rosa coal project was as shameless as every other project I've witnessed here. All speculation and ridicous SP predictions. It gets very old.
Production first, revenues second and then see where it is at. Using terms like "quite explosive" is not going to impress those who know these companies well imo. We've learned to ignore RNS statements like "we intend", "we expect", "we anticipate", "we hope" and so on. Few buy that woolly language any more and there is little to no "benefit of the doubt" given either. People are wise to it.
The ramp crews pumped Shoats Creek for all it was worth. When the 1 day test results stated 300 bopd they ramped like crazy, but those with experience knew to ignore it. Actual production ended up at just 100 to 120 bopd and only for a short while, then dropped to 70 bopd and then to nothing. Similar story with other ventures imo.
Greenland, Cloud Computing, Candy Sweets, Elephant Oil, DBar oil, Ivory Cost, Kenya, DNi etc etc etc
Just lots of fingers in lots of failed pies, and a continual move to the next new project to tickle the fancy of mug punters. About time really that AB just got one good decent revenue producing project under his belt to prove that his companies are more than just placing enterprises. imo. DYOR