RE: For Newbies15 Jan 2020 10:52
Just bear in mind that the farm in agreement with NC is ONLY for the 12 blocks that lie within the Havieron target.
******* RNS 12 March 2019*****
· Newcrest has the right to acquire up to a 70% interest in 12 blocks within E45/4701 that cover the Havieron target (the "Tenement Blocks") by spending up to US$65m (roughly £50m or AUD$90m) and completing a series of exploration and development milestones in a four-stage Farm-in over six years.
********
SO, that 70% does NOT cover the Blackhills and Paterson range East projects! They are at an additional value, whatever that may be as outlined in the same RNS
*****RNS 12 March 2019******
During the Farm-in period, Newcrest will have a first right of refusal over the Black Hills (E45/4512) and Paterson Range East (E45/4928) licences. Additionally, during the Farm-in period and the term of the proposed Joint Venture, Newcrest will have a first right of refusal over those blocks within the Havieron licence (E45/4701) not included in the Tenement Blocks.
******
The way I read this is that NC have the right of first refusal DURING the Farm in Agreement. So, when they reach the end of stage 4.... they lose that right. We will see at the time but my guess is they will not lose that right unused!
So, by having invested the total of USD65 mln at the end of stage 4 to do all the drilling etc, NC have essentially paid for 70% of the current value (well, last night that is) of GGP, being 4.04 billon shares (fully diluted I am told) * gbp0.02 (last night SP)*1.32 (GBP/USD)*70% = USD74 mln.
That is the equivalent in ground value of 740,000 Oz (at USD100/Oz)!!!
Think about that upward potential.
Mindboggling.
MS