RE: Cineworld Fact Check - Newbies Guide24 Jul 2020 08:15
I wouldn’t be overly concerned with CINE defaulting. The link you copied even highlights that provided there is some visibility that attendances slowly head back to normal between August and Q42021, so the next year and a half effectively, the rating will be increased. Plus, if you have a look at the financial statement for last year on revenues of $4.3b, CINE had an EBITA of $1.58b, paid off finance costs of $568m and still had a before tax profit of $212m. When their doors are open they are in a very healthy position and have no problem paying off financing facilities.
The UK have pretty much confirmed they won’t do another nationwide lockdown and in the future it will be down to individual regions to police the situation. Similarly, the US will be doing it on a state by state basis.
I think the thing we can all agree on though is that CINE has a tendency to fluctuate rapidly, so the opening of cinemas next week is likely to provide a sharp increase in the share price from the current levels.