RE: Rns6 Feb 2020 11:57
What's that Naps, you sold out after the little pump and now back in so here come the ramps PMSL. Somebody over on ADVFN has posted a pretty good analysis which is below, thanks to Melpan. PS revenue is vanity, profit is sanity so if you want tot take this track come back and talk about profit levels, corporate structures, distributable reserves because they're what count not revenue. Happy reading...
This mornings additional acquisition makes no sense. Why dilute further when you have serious issues elsewhere, the company has no focus. Have been invested in this since the 2.5-3p days when there were only 300m odd shares and now there are 11,400m and the market cap ie value, has remained the same!
Re. looking purely at todays investment:
- They spent $200k on 2% ie valuing MNH at $10m.
- The last unuadited accounts for Otjozondu (NOT MNH in which we own a share) show operating PBT at $0.8m - so say $1.6m for full year and at 25% tax and interest $1.2m potentially in distibutable dividends - and thats best case assuming zero admin expenses (unlikely) as those are not disclosed
- Premiers share of this (based on the 2%) would be $24k
- Hence they are paying 8x earnings minimum (more likely to be 10-20)
- 5.2x assets
- 2.1x revenue (if we assume 2x half year)
- For a co. that was set up 3yrs ago and was valued at $4.9m just less than 2 years ago whose resources have not been independantly verified by PREM and were last updated 8yrs ago.
- Holding in a co. (MNH) that has never published any audited accounts. Surely thats rife for potential manipulation and fraud as we have no control over the MNH holding co and its workings.
- The reported revenue numbers seem strange - 2018 was $1.8m, 2019 dropped to $1.4m and they are stating that half year 2020 is already $2.4m !
- One positive seem that the revenue and operating pbt year on year growth is impressive (if numbers are to be believed) so thats great but we are not an investment co !
These are not compelling numbers or facts which scream "bargain" whichever ever way you look at it. The statement of "MNH is cash generative and will help PREM" is a red herring. What cash will we receive ??? It does not seem to be that cash rich and being a minority shareholder, we will only receive any "cash" in form of potential after tax dividends which as above, equates to $24k/yr max (more likely between 1-0.5x this) initially for handing over $200k. Hopefully others on here can debate why this was done and whether it makes good commercial business sense.