Novum Securities Ltd10 Apr 2019 12:50
Block Energy’s investment case represents a low-
cost entry point into an early-stage reserve backed
producer with significant exploration/appraisal
upside.
The fully-funded development and appraisal work
programme is seeking to establish early-stage
cashflow through a low-cost development
programme in its Norio oil field and expose
shareholders to the substantial upside contained
within the discovered West Rustavi field.
A benign fiscal and operational environment in
Georgia allows for low-cost oil and gas operations
and substantial netbacks; with the CPR seeing c.
USD 15/bbl on an NPV basis.
Strong reserves (of 2.5 MMBbl, gross 2P), and
substantial contingent resources (73 MMbbl oil &
626 BCF gas, gross unrisked 2C) provide a strong
baseline for the Company’s valuation. The
presence of Schlumberger in the neighbouring
licence area, as well as historically meaningful
analogue fields (Samgori and Ninotsminda) within
close proximity with the same basin plays, validates
the Company’s geological concept.
With a current share price1 of GBP 0.029, and an
estimated valuation of GBP 0.092 based upon the
2P reserves, and the Company’s fully-funded
2018/9 work programme commencing, we believe
this is an inflection point and the activities and
near-term news potential should lead to meaningful
short and long-term share price appreciation.
In addition to the 2P reserves, upside potential of
GBP 0.46 from the relatively low-risk (75% chance
of success) contingent resources from the
Company’s West Rustavi and Norio projects,
Block Energy represents an excellent potential
investment with compelling upside across its three assets