PAUL SCOTT comments on STOCKOPEDIA25 May 2019 17:42
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Staffline (LON:STAF)
Trading update - this is an interesting comment re employment, which actually sounds rather good for the country (more secure, permanent jobs for people has to be for the social good), but bad for STAF;
The ongoing Brexit uncertainty is impacting the UK labour market and led to a number of customers transferring a significant volume of their temporary workforce into permanent employment to mitigate the risk of that labour market tightening. Typically, this reaction to uncertainty tends to reverse over time, but we expect it will continue to impact temporary worker demand throughout the current year.
New contract wins slow, blamed on delay to publishing 2018 accounts. Really? That doesn't sound realistic to me. Do customers even check the accounts of a temping agency? I'd be surprised if they do;
There has also been a slowdown in new contract momentum in the current financial year, which the Company largely attributes to the impact of the delay in publication of the 2018 Full Year results. The key outstanding matter in finalising the results relates to the Group's historical compliance with National Minimum Wage Regulations 2015. This is a complex area and management, in conjunction with HMRC and supported by an independent advisor, are assessing the significant amount of historic data and transactions, which will then be subject to audit.
So a complex problem is ongoing.
Some signs of hope, buried in this management-speak!
Notwithstanding these current headwinds, the Recruitment division is beginning to see the definitive benefits from the Company's market-leading approach to worker engagement and digitally enabled candidate attraction. Management expects this strategy to result in increasing differentiation and to support future growth.
Incidentally, I've just googled "management-speak", and I'd like to pass on this gem, to use when you need a duvet day;
I don't have much bandwidth today so I'm going to stick to collaboratively promoting key differentiators in an ever changing marketplace by delegation.
(NB, this is NOT from Staffline, it's from @managerspeak on Twitter)
People Plus division is struggling in 2019, but sounds more confident about outlook for 2020.
Full year outlook;
The Group experiences seasonality in its trading and typically earns only approximately 15% of its earnings in the first quarter of the financial year. The April performance is therefore a key initial indicator as to the full year turn out, and with visibility of that trading, and as a consequence of the broad range of factors highlighted above, the Board now expects the Group to deliver adjusted EBIT in the range of £23 million to £28 million for the financial year ending 31 December 2019.
Broker research - to save me crunching the numbers, I've glanced at a new note just published on Research Tree. Key points;
EPS forecast - down a whopping 46% for 2019, but only 17% for 2020