Stockopedia comments ....20 Jan 2023 23:58
My view
It’s a complicated story. My view is as follows (I don’t currently have a position in either share, but I have in the past owned both of them, personally or on behalf of others):
PayPoint is a good-quality business with a history of excellent cash generation and ROE, and I like its future prospects. It is part of the shopping infrastructure that convenience retailers need, and its products have remained modern and relevant. I also think the shares offer decent value at current levels.
That having been said, the Appreciate takeover doesn’t make great sense to me from the point of view of synergies. Yes, PayPoint sells Appreciate gift cards (alongside Amazon gift cards and video game vouchers). Yes, many PayPoint customers are also Appreciate customers. But is that enough to justify the combination of the two businesses, strategically?
The easiest rationale for the takeover, in my view, is that it’s an opportunistic one. The Appreciate share price got too cheap, by a wide margin. PayPoint, as a large, financially strong business that has a working relationship with Appreciate, was able to identify this and act on it.
At its current share price, which is near the takeover price, Appreciate gets the follow value metrics from Stocko computers:
(unreadable graphics ....removed)
It seems like quite a good deal for PayPoint, doesn’t it?