RE: Sidara walk away1 May 2025 15:00
Not true at all. Lets look at a d4e or rights issue scenario where there is a 200% dilution, ie the new share float becomes 2b shares (currently 0.667b)
With hugely reduced debt, and possibly break even FCF due to reduced interest payments, the market cap swiftly returns to £1b which was last years market cap including the current debt (so could surpass it)
So even if existing shareholders do nothing, don’t try to average down, the share price should return to 50p+ (£1b/2b shares)
Even if dilution was 300% with new float at 2.7b shares, the share price should return to 37p+
Even at 400% with 3.4b shares, the share price should return to 29p+
The EBITDA is strong at $460m+ ( add on the new contract wins)
The revenue is strong at $6.2b