Intex Resources comparison20 Oct 2010 11:55
Thanks, but I still do not quite understand why these are traded so differently. The quality of the nickel is apperantly of very good quality, the netback is very very low , given the high level of the other minerals. In addition, the phillipines has just changed government which favours foreign investments strongly and gives permits and ECC, not like the situation you refer to below.
I found this valuation analysis on the web (translated via google). Maybe its worth looking into?
VALUATION ANALYSIS OF INTEX RESOURCES
I have conducted a basic valuation of Intex Resources based on three different methods:
Transaction method, NPV analysis and benchmarking.
The results are as follows (see detailed analysis below):
1) Transaction Method: 177 NOK / share
2) Aker Solution Study (Internal NPV analysis): 146 NOK / share
3) Benchmarking with other listed companies in the same place and same industry: 34 € / share
This provides a range of valuation methods. In case 3) there are many upsides when comparing Intex with a company that is much more immature in the process, no buying interest from Severstal, not the same cash balance etc, but the point is to show a minimum worst case scenario.
From this I conclude that the value of Intex Resources provided the sale of the company is approximately NOK 100 per share, with a minimum price of 50 NOK per share.
I hope this may help to highlight the enormous value of the company to use for our investors in the ongoing takeover process initiated by Severstal. At the same time I think it might be useful to be prepared for other players intreden considering the large purchases of CDV, etc. from an undisclosed buyer.
Assuming the analysis generally NOK / USD = 5.8.