RE: TP Broker note upside of projects currently 82m MC25 Feb 2021 19:13
Hi Wolfy, the downside valuation for Hamersley is correct.
But for the upside valuation they should have used what they stated as the high case tonnes of 245 (not 150).
Therefore:
245,000,000 x 0.5 Fe = 122,500,000
x£8/t = £980,000,000
x0.2 (to discount 80%) = £196,000,000
x0.51 (our share – 49% Windfield) = £99,960,000
The upside value is considerably higher than what they have entered as £61.2M.
This means there is much more potential.