RE: Brent bounce20 Apr 2020 16:40
Just wanted to correct you:
Storage at 65% capacity. Brent will move up and down, but with cuts, natural decline, lack of investment and a consumption shock (waiting for this to kick in) oil will rally.
Specific to TLW we have 60% hedged at $57 for 2020 and 40% hedged at 52 for 2021. So lets use the average of say $54.5 for 50% hedged over the next 20 months.
Brent say $25 then add 54.5 divide by 2 gives you $39.75.
Our breakeven cost is $34/35.
We are are just fine.
Then you have to think of potential to sell $1B in assets and reduced capex and a third of the workforce being cut being other positives.
So buying at these levels seems a bargain to me.