RE: Killjoy Time?10 Sep 2020 17:01
Ethiopia has more than one Potash development.
They had a huge road development plan started around 2015/16 to link cities, mines, ports which is behind schedule (should all be complete by now) to help every single Potash company and other miners transport goods to Port.
This included a road to the Circum Potash development which has not yet to my knowledge been built.
However, i am sure it will be built by the time Circum goes into development, also behind plan because Potash prices are down 30% from a year ago due to massive oversupply.
it is severely doubtful anything will happen with Circum until Potash prices bounce and start to recover.
Potash prices have recently stalled the fall but only because of Belarus the largest Potash developers striking.
From RNS memory I think Circums new plan was to give out Pref shares to initiate a smaller mine stage 1 but as we have had no word since I bet its on a backburner because Stephen Dattels isn't going to build a mine while Potash prices are still falling.
At this time Prem is pretty ****ed, has low money needs $1.7m to get RHA up and running.
Where everyone including myself thought MNH would be pumping cash to us its all gone horribly wrong and you still have people issuing well by end of 2021 they'll be banging out 40k tons a month.
No they wont, its apparent the expansion never happened and pretty much never will and why any MNH update will be some poor excuse of why expansion isn't happening.
If things are so MNH rosy profits where is the quarterly dividend from end of June? I bet we will fail to get one end of Q3 too.
Next thing you know there will be reports of some disaster and the need to stump up cash for MNH.
Then we have the gold. To do extensive soil sampling scoping and a 3D metallurgical aerial map study that's $100000 easily gone with the subsequent independent testing they have to do.
To do a 2 stage drilling program for Gold another $700k-$1m and you have to hope these guys hit the seams of gold and why it's always done in stages to assess the finding of the first stage.
If you see an RNS stating they're moving equipment i'd take the recent gold RNS seriously, till then its a load of rubbish thrown out to stifle the SP fall while he ponders where he can get the next cash from.
ZULU EPO the day this hits will be the best day for prem shareholders. Given his track record the only good day.