RE: Tactics4 May 2022 12:12
I have reflected and I agree with both of you, but I think it should be an equity raise, because it will be much easier to do at a respectable price with participation by BHP and NCM...
(But I wonder where CGP and DGR will get the cash from to ante up their corner...?)
So why has my thinking changed?
Its beyond doubt we'll need a raise before the end of June, so why wait?
On reflection I believe it would be best to go sooner rather than later and raise $50/60 million equity if possible.
This would then give the perception that we are fully funded to end 2022 for both Alpala and Regionals.
There is no doubt the market is expecting a raise sooner rather than later.
Assuming there is good institutional demand in London, Europe and North America that demand should be tapped now. There isn't sufficient liquidity in the market to satisfy all the demand that can be created by the roadshows, so do an issue. Its very hard to buy size as the poor volumes have shown recently.
Yes the SP might fall, but it would then establish a base from which it would rise because it then leaves the field open for a stream of only positive news.
What has changed my stance?
I am now convinced that there will be a market correction sooner rather than later. My worry is that if there is a market shock, it will not only become temporarily harder to raise funds, but more expensive also.
So, in conclusion, get the cash raise out of the way as soon as possible. Take as much as you can from the market at a price as close as possible to the market price. That will not only reassure actual and prospective shareholders that there are no cash worries for the foreseeable future, but also form a foundation for the SP to rise on progressively better news.
After all, barring a market shock, there are surely only positive surprises to come...
And no I DON'T think we should do a streaming deal right now. Whats the point of p*****g off NCM, let alone BHP? They will maintain the same proportion of equity while SOLG can take the opportunity to tap into even more prospective long term holders.
Finally, no I don't think there is a cat in hells chance of SOLG taking Alpala to production, but as Darryl said early on, they still need to be seen to be working towards that. This will not inhibit the possibility of a bid...rather enhance it...IMO.
I hope you don't mind my proposing this.
Good luck
Terry