RE: Earnings expectations?9 Aug 2016 18:04
Broker update from FinnCap....
ScS Group (SCS): Sales update (BUY)
ScS has today confirmed that trading momentum continued for the past 8 weeks of FY 2016 with LFL sales order intake +14.8% for the 53 weeks ended 30 July. Accordingly profits are expected to come in in line with expectations (finnCap forecast FY16 EBITDA of �15.6m, EPS 19.4p). Given the 24% decline in the price post the referendum, the stock is looking cheap on 7.8x earnings. That said, there are a few points to bear in mind: 1) the weak H2 base in the PY (LFL order intake +1.4%) has flattered the FY outturn; 2) the current period contains 53 weeks of trading and July 2016 had 5 weekends compared to 4 in the PY; 3) Potential FX impact and/or changes in consumer confidence will take time to feed through into spending patterns; and 4) the base is now high going into FY17. We are currently leaving our forecasts and 230p price target unchanged, but note that the August bank holiday will be the first key trading period post the referendum and will make a further assessment then.