RE: Can’t believe what they posted on the HBR page14 Oct 2025 19:32
I think it’s worth adding to the discussion that EnQuest, as an equity case, has been heavily dependent on M&A to grow production in the UK for quite some time now. The management has also emphasized that they’ve been working hard on this for a long time. Clearly, no deal has yet been finalized – and as a shareholder, it’s very frustrating to see many potential transactions recently slip away to other players and/or end up in mergers.
That said, if the company were to complete a transaction that adds 15–25k boepd in the North Sea, many of the current question marks around FCF and bond maturities would be resolved.
So apart from EnQuest being a leveraged bet on the oil price and on potential tax reform, it’s also clearly one of the oil companies that would benefit the most from a successful M&A outcome.
I still believe that Harbour’s portfolio, which was rumored to be up for sale, looks very interesting for EnQuest (the Armada, Everest, Lomond, Catcher and Tolmount fields) – all operated assets, which Amjad probably (and have stated) prefers after the Golden Eagle setback. Harbour abruptly halted its planned divestment of its Vietnam operations to Big Energy, citing unfavorable terms. A year later, EnQuest ended up acquiring the same assets on very similar terms…?
I think there are more deals in the works with Harbour.