Quandery ?4 Feb 2021 12:16
With EMH European Lithium mine being originally listed on ASX , the initial comments were - carp grades, eu location at the time had very little lithium interest , maybe 1 factory.
Australia has THE best lithium mines at scale and with the behmoth of China buying up all resources. This made the original EMH project look quite small, but not in these big miners thoughts. Europe is far away so why not invest in our (oz) mega companies ? That is where EMH started.
Forwarding quickly , listing on AIM, by listing on Frankfurt drew big pulls of shares in to both markets and took from the ASX exchange making a small fortune initially.
The interest is clearly in Europe to drive the sp !
Now the listing in the US and Czech to come basically adds pull on a limited share base.
To be honest I don't think the Yanks are too bothered either way unless they are Tesla linked nuts who buy anything Tesla linked. Nothing wrong with that.
However as the points made today and previously , the "foreign" markets I would suggest are interested in their own more tangable supplies.
The lack of institutions was a surprise to me considering the "worldclass" "bottom quartile" mine that EMH have ?
Yes, it is extremely clear lithium will fall short of supply v the ever increasing demand coming in from 2023 onwards, the perfect time for a central european mine to open ! Yet ASX has consistantly been a bit off and on.
AIM has suffered from the delays which should have seen the mine actually opening this year / 2022 at the very latest.
I understand the feeling this may have created over the last 3 years.
As a holder of ASX listed Piedmont, I can fully understand the point they make about moving operations out of Australia to the US as the asset is pure US based. They will get extra coverage , the kind they were not getting in Australia. Shares from ASX are ( like when EMH listed on AIM & Frankfurt buying up high levels of these low amounts of shares in issue ). In a year I would guess the amount of shares held in Australia will be down towards 20% of issue.
They will obviously buy when the big raises come to take the mine to production by summer 2022 for 1st supply to Tesla as per contract offtake.
The same will happen here but I wonder the CEO has been left too much time to think ?
Being on 5 exchanges stretches out demand and will all for more access to more buyers = a natural share price rise based purely on demand. Less shares spread across 5 creates that extra demand. Also when EMH come to raise cash at the end of the year , the big cash, then ok there will be dilution, but across 5 exchanges somewhat protecting the sp.
The possible downside is as questioned today, one market seems to be allowed to control the others ?
Personally I would love EMH to list in Czech R , stay on AIM and Frankfurt. Forget the US and Australia, put the shares in the local domain where interest is mostly focused ?
Just a thought with 2 companies coming to a massive market in