RE: EMH18 Feb 2021 11:32
Happy , he will not buy the mine, he will want full and total lithium supply ! He will certainly not want a factory in Poland , Hungary or Czech getting any advantage over hus Tesla sales.
The China deal involved an indep china low grade Li mine and most importantly the Hydroxide plant to get his Li2OH.
US$650,000,000 - 800,000,000m in cost. Would you want to share it in China with say BYD ? No chance.
It could be different in the US with the 30% offtake with 100% owned Piedmont. My obsevations on why this is different is with Piedmont doing that investment deal with Sayona Mining for Rock Spodumene. Imho has will buy out Piedmont as Tesla have bought land in N Carolina , Raleigh. They have been openly advertising for a Lithium Battery Factory manager and next in line , line managers. So Tesla have the land are taking on staff for a full on battery plant. The Sayona part comes with the knowledge that Tesla have a huge factory in Buffalo, near to Sayona and I think both the buy in to Sayona Mining for 60,000-150,000 tonnes of LCE for Piedmont per year defeats the object? Piedmont itself can probably produce in excess of 60,000-80,000 tpy LCE once the open ended seams have been drilled in this 60km Tin-Spodumene-Belt TSB. The belt in total is estimated ( 2000 year of report ) to hold 750 million tonnes of LCE, so if we all know what would Mr Musk be thinking .... Nargh I think I will pass on that ! ? Not a chance and it is US secure and the only true source of rock spodumene that is outcropping and viable to open cast mine. Albamerle and Livent processing plants within 6km & 17km ready to start up. Mr Musk will buy Piedmont and Sayona assets out imho. Save US$375M on building 1 processing plant and just ship it to Albamerle and Livent to process for royalties over 25 years. That is the sensible option and no brainer !
EMH Cinovec is a world class mine, but the EU wouldn't want Tesla getting all Europes supply, but he 100% will need a deal with EMH.
Great great times for big single lithium companies and great that China is threatening the US and Tesla in the US and EU. Tensions will grow along with expectation and share price value.
Good luck everyone.