RE: A great presentation8 Dec 2025 08:54
Yes, great presentation which clearly illustrates how the current SP, despite the significant rise over the last few months, is still very low compared to where it is likely to be ahead of the award date. If we factor in the size of the claim (updated to account for the higher POG) and the probability of a positive resolution, we should come to a 20-40% of the first. That would be a 5-10X of today's share price, minus the share taken by LCM.
He reiterated the fact that cash burn is extremely limited and that we have enough cash for the next couple of years, i.e. until the award date. India may take their time to pay but they would eventually do.
In conclusion, if you buy now, the risk of losing money ahead of the award date are extremely small. You can just buy and then sell before the verdict..