MRE Thoughts and plan9 Dec 2020 23:20
So finally we have reached the anticipated Initial MRE for Havieron - 3.4Moz of Gold and 160Kt Cu. When broken down into the dry tonnes this estimate includes:
SE crescent zone - 18Mt @ 3.8g/t Au, 0.61% Cu
Breccia zone (SE breccia and part of the Northern breccia) - 34Mt @1.1g/t Au, 0.15% Cu
This is based on 125 drillholes and does not include the newly defined eastern breccia, the rest of the Northern breccia and NW crescent zone.
Despite numerous posts by many people on here including myself about not getting carried away with what to expect at an initial MRE, I can see some people have gone into meltdown because this isn't 10Moz or something ludicrous. For an inferred mineral resource, this is more than adequate. High grade, good tonnage and a clear plan to improve the estimate with three additional zones and we are still open at depth and along strike at pretty much all these zones! Newcrest have pretty much confirmed the block cave approach in their reports as the plan for this deposit which = low AISC.
Lets not forget the additional drilling results they have published, all showing excellent widths and above 1.5g/t Au with the stand out being HAD103 with 90.6m @ 2.3g/t Au from 776m in the Northern breccia. I'm not sure if those ones were included in the MRE but they weren't published beforehand. When you consider the journey GGP have been on since June 2019 since the first drilling started (I think it was this date?), there has now been over 126,000m of drilling and a 3.4Moz inferred MRE published in 1.5 years and an astronomical increase in share price. I've been involved in this share since around March this year so have only captured part of the move but just take a moment and realise what an absolutely astonishing achievement GGP has made in a year and a half. All of this in a covid world too. These sorts of discoveries and the time frame it takes to take a prospect through the value curve to this point normally takes years and some companies don't even make it this far because they run out of money or mess it up.
So am I happy with the Initial MRE - yes. Do I think it can be improved upon? - yes. Is this economical? - yes, certainly from the gold price at the moment. The big question is, how big can this become. That's a tough question. I'm no resource geologist however given the three additional zones including the higher grade NW crescent zone, this will surely exceed 5m Oz no trouble. I think this will get closer to 10Moz nearer the feasibility study next year. If any satellite deposits are found, that shouldn't be out of range.
There's a few extra geological details in the report that I won't get into here. In terms of the market tomorrow, I have no idea how this will play out. Historically, news seems to drop our SP but the reaction seems good over on twitter so I dunno. Personally, I will continue to hold especially given the direction of the company outlined at the AGM
ATB
Magic