RE: Copl23 Aug 2021 17:43
Hey Will,
Honest truth?
All PIs got caught by a pre-mediated massive ‘sting’ orchestrated by MMs Hadron et al.
Imo, partial blame of this is due to the over hype build up on boards such as Telegram which have grown very quickly with over 1.2k on COPL alone and this for me has helped the MMs with a game plan. (This is not the first shares this has happed to either, I must add)
With The constant ramping repetitive discussion an d temperature check polls of opening Prices on these sites , this has given Hadron and MMs the upper hand psychological edge of where best open up the sp on relist regardless of fundamental, which basically allows them And Hadron to do a mass sell off and churn of all their placement shares and warrants at a price Point which satisfies their profit margin and also with full knowledge that PIs and retail investors will buy them all up at these price levels and very few would would be competing in selling alongside them
Even though they sold over 650m shares on open day, Hadron still have another 175m left and I Also checked the share register on Simply Wall St last week and there are few other asset mgmt funds also all sitting under 3% threshold eg Intertrader, which were most probably also likely churning their placement shares and warrants
Right now, Total volumes traded since relist is @ 7.5bn , with daily vols decreasing down to 500m which is still a decent level. I think given the placement and warrant were in 0.2s and account for the 5.5bn new shares the vast majority of placement shares and warrants should now be sold, but there could still be a few hundred million left to churn if there were sells of the older shares that were bought cheap outside of last placement
So Imo, for sp to turn, either daily volumes may need to fall a bit further to confirm sells and churn are drying up or we have to wait for another RNS to bring back sentiment
One of these 2 outcomes should happen by 31 Aug..Then hopefully we should see a run based more on the fundamentals of copl. (hopefully Q2 shows improving productivity))
Right now though, we are exposed to pre meditated market mechanics instead Of fundamentals which are influencing sp.
Hope this helps, but just my opinion based in what I see.
ATB
M