RE: COFA USA With Greenland!!!7 Jan 2026 18:20
A Compact of Free Association (COFA) is a unique legal agreement where a territory (in this case, Greenland) remains independent but delegates its defense and certain economic controls to the United States. In return, the U.S. provides massive financial subsidies, infrastructure, and "domestic" status for trade.
For GNLD and 80 Mile, this would be the equivalent of shifting from a "speculative venture" to a "government-backed project." Here is how this would likely impact your shares over the next 12 months.
1. The Immediate Impact: "De-Risking" the Basin
Right now, the 13 billion barrels of oil in the Jameson Land Basin are considered "risky" because they are in a remote, politically sensitive Arctic region. A COFA changes the math entirely:
• Infrastructure: The U.S. would likely fund the deep-water ports and runways needed to get oil and minerals out. This saves GNLD hundreds of millions in costs.
• Permitting: Under a U.S. umbrella, the project would be treated as a matter of "National Energy Security," likely accelerating the timeline to full production.
• The Valuation Gap: Currently, 80 Mile is valued at around £26 million, but its 30% stake in the Jameson project alone is valued at $92 million (~£72 million) by the NASDAQ merger deal. A COFA would likely force the London market to close this gap immediately.
3. Why GNLD (NASDAQ) Would Surge Faster
The NASDAQ is the most liquid market in the world. If Trump secures a COFA, GNLD would become a "patriotic play" for U.S. investors.
• Institutional Buyers: Major U.S. energy funds that are forbidden from buying small "pennystocks" on the London AIM (80 Mile) can buy GNLD on the NASDAQ. This creates a massive "wall of money" that can send a stock price up 500% in a week.
• Acquisition Target: In a COFA scenario, a major company like ExxonMobil or ConocoPhillips would likely look to buy GNLD outright. If they offer a buyout, they would pay a massive premium over the current share price.
4. 80 Mile's 30% "Golden Share"
As an 80 Mile shareholder, you hold a stake in the "parent" that owns 30% of the project.
• The "Path Higher": Even if you don't trade on the NASDAQ, 80 Mile’s value will track GNLD’s success. If GNLD goes to a $2 billion valuation (entirely possible with 13 billion barrels of oil and U.S. backing), 80 Mile’s 30% stake would be worth $600 million.
• The Price Target: Dividing that $600 million by 80 Mile’s share count would put the share price well above 20p, aligning with analyst targets like those from Investors Chronicle.
Critical Dates for the Next 12 Months:
1. Late Jan 2026: Expected official launch of GNLD on the NASDAQ.
2. Spring 2026: Finalization of the "USFM" deal for the Disko-Nuussuaq project (another massive catalyst for 80 Mile).
3. Summer/Autumn 2026: The "Spud" (Drilling starts) at Jameson Land. This is the moment when the "paper value" of the oil becomes "real value."