This was prompted by smidtol's use of sales pricing19 Oct 2022 13:06
smidtol, Iâll focus on your first paragraph which concludes with âTotal annual sales $2.1m.â
6 months ending 31st Dec 2021.
âThe average sale prices achieved during the period was US$71.07 per barrel for oil, and US$3.74 per MMBtu for gas (in each case after transport and processing costs and prior to royalties).â
The average market prices during the period were WTI $74.2 and HH Gas $4.55 per MMBtu ($26/boe).
Page 19 of report
(i) Project performance Stanley $ Falcon $ Winters $ Livingston $ Arkoma $ Other Projects $ Total $ Half-Year Ended 31 December 2021 Revenue Oil and gas project related revenue 321,220 322,803 6,390 7,455 41,386 46,536 745,790 Producing assets revenue 321,220 322,803 6,390 7,455 41,386 46,536 745,790 Project-related expenses - Cost of sales (15,008) (22,307) (294) (344) (2,980) - (40,933) - Lease operating expenses (223,615) (138,701) (3,956) (6,483) (8,133) (135,482) (516,370) Project cost of sales (238,623) (161,008) (4,250) (6,827) (11,113) (135,482) (557,303) Project gross profit Gross profit 82,597 161,795 2,140 628 30,273 (88,946) 188,487.
Formatting is poor so Iâll extract the revenue for each project and using the net production volume (boe) from each project Iâll also present average US$/boe for each project:
Falcon AU$321,220 US$20.4 Mainly gas
Stanley AU$322,803 US$54.3 Mainly oil
Livingston AU$7,455 US$52.2 Mainly oil.
Winters AU$6,390 US$44.3 Mainly oil. Post period Winters 2 (W2) on stream producing mainly gas at volumes >> W1.
Arkoma AU$41,386 US$15.2 Mainly gas.
In the report Mosman said, âThe average sale prices achieved during the period was US$71.07 per barrel for oil, and US$3.74 per MMBtu for gas (in each case after transport and processing costs and prior to royalties).â
US$3.74 per MMBtu for gas, equates to US$21.7/boe.
The total reported revenue for the period was AU$745,790 (c. US$520K)
The gross profit from projects was AU$188,487 (c. US$132K)
The last two lines represent the first 6 months of the year to end June 2022. Total net production in the period was 17,344 boe, which is 46% of the 37,915 boe reported for the full 12 months (H2 19% higher than H1). I estimate that Mosmanâs average sales prices in the 6 months to June was US$100 oil and US$5.0 (US$29/boe) gas. This is an increase of 41% on oil and 34% on gas. Production volumes are weighted towards gas, largely due to Falcon, but Iâll use a mid-way price increase of 37.5%.
Applying these numbers to the US$520K revenue number in the first 6 month, for the final 6 months I get:
520x1.19x1.375 = US$851K, for a 12-month total of US$1,371K. This is my expectation for total project revenues.
The full year report will be published 31st Dec 2022 latest.