RE: Decided to buy again25 Jun 2020 10:44
Surprised to see this fall when it was already at a discount to its peers (Admiral, Hastings, etc). Hastings has actually risen about 9% this week, which makes it all the stranger the market has cottoned to the fact that Direct Line is undervalued yet.
Having bought in at 279p and 274p I'm sitting on a small loss but I'm still as bullish as before, having done plenty of research both into the company, the reason why the dividend was suspended / why it's likely to be restored, how this share compares to others in the sector, and about the fall in the amount of driving (look at how fuel duty has plummeted) and reasons why motor claims will have fallen in frequency and perhaps also in terms of severity.
Once DLG bring back their dividend and probably give a special dividend on top, you'll have loads of yield-seeking income investors and funds pile into this share. Once that happens the share price will soar to much higher levels.
The Prudential Regulatory Authority put pressure on DLG (and all insurers) to suspend their dividends but once the Direct Line evidences to the PRA that they're actually having an incredibly profitable year, they'll start making announcing their intention to give it back. It's only a matter of time but I strongly believe we're onto a winner here.