gamcoles29 Sep 2007 11:23
Aton:Highland Gold. Share price up on strong volumes, reports of possible acquisition
Highland Gold's share price rose 10.6% yesterday on high volumes, closing at $2.08. We believe the strong performance may have been driven by expectations of a potential acquisition.
Given the current consolidation gold assets apparently sparked by Severstal's bid for Celtic Gold, we believe it possible Severstal could approach Barrick Gold to acquire its 34% stake in Highland, and subsequently increase its stake to control. Barrick's CEO Gregory Wilkins stated yesterday during a gold conference in Denver that the company would only seek participation in significant gold projects in Russia, which, in our view, disqualifies Highland.
We rate Highland Gold Buy, with a 12-month target price of $2.46.
The CEO (a Barrick Director) has resigned. Non Executive directors have been buying shares. Severstal is moving into Gold chasing CER. The owner of Severstal (who obtained his MBA in the Uk) will want more than CER if he is moving into gold anticipating (as we all are) the gold prices are going to continue rising as the $ falls further.