El Romeral12 Feb 2022 13:58
Just been re-reading the income update and the optimisation update for El Romeral and I think there are some interesting details, in terms of potential tucked away in there.
The reference period of March - August suggests average weekly output of 283 MWhrs
The latest period of Sept-Dec(17 weeks) suggests average weekly output of 309 MWhrs, which is a 9% increase.
However, the optimisation project was only operational from 26th Nov, i.e. only affecting the last 5 weeks of the period.
Reasonable to assume that the first 12 weeks output was as the same as the reference period, which would indicate that the power output for the last 5 weeks (i.e. with the updates) was around 393 MWhrs per week.
i.e. a 39 % uplift over the reference period, which seems realistic as MR referred to a potential 65% uplift in the longer term.
Even with an ongoing 39% uplift this would translate into 363980 Euro per month based on 180 Euro/MWhr.
If 65% can be achieved with 24 Hr and 7 days/week potential coupled with a hike in wholesale gas prices that we have seen in the UK, this could be quite a cash cow. Looks like we will need more gas to feed the power station pronto, to fully utilise the 8.1 MWhr nameplate capacity. Having said that, there are utilisation restrictions that will limit the realistic output capacity below the 8.1MWhr.
Just for fun, if there is a further 50% increase in wholesale gas prices to 270 Euro and a 65% uplift in utilisation is achieved, this could represent about 546000 Euro per month.
A monthly update on El Romeral output/income figures would be good to see.