RE: #GGP Podcast. Glory above if the price can breakout.22 Oct 2024 11:51
Schlemiel - StatBright seems to have misjudged the assets under ownership once we get the keys. As Berenberg recognise in today's note, Greatland will be cashflow positive immediately on completion of the acquisition. Why do they say this? Well it's because the Telfer 15 month mine plan set out in the SRK Competent Person's report forecasts some 426,000 oz of gold equivalent over this period with an AISC of $1,454/oz compared to current gold price of in excess of $2,700. So $1,200 profit for each ounce or in excess of $500m.
That's why they say once the cashflow starts coming through that will go a long way to pay for Havieron development. Greatland in any case has drawdown facilities from the banks in place to top up.
Then of course, on top of that, there is the steady state expectation in the SRK report of Havieron producing 258,000 oz gold equivalent a year from 3 years hence for a further 15 years at an AISC of $818/oz, or some $1,900 profit from each ounce.
And on top of that are the extensions to those numbers at Telfer and Havieron, again all well documented in the SRK report from known targets.
A lot to look forward to once the acquisition is completed.