Wider rally31 Mar 2026 12:58
The war could be over, according to European stock market screens, which are all in the green this morning. The FTSE 100 is up 0.7 per cent, with only a handful of stocks posting negative numbers, two of which are of course BP and Shell. The Dax and Cac are also strong, up 0.7 and 0.5 per cent respectively. Futures for New York are very positive, with the S&P 500 expected to open 0.8 per cent higher. As you’d expect, oil is down, as are bond yields, although there’s still a lot going on.
This all started following a report from the Wall Street Journal that US President Donald Trump is willing to end the war, even if he doesn’t succeed in re-opening the Strait of Hormuz, the tiny strip of water in between the United Arab Emirates, Oman and Iran that basically anyone should be able to point to on a map by now. Traders are leaning into a reversal, but it’s worth bearing in mind, before we get the flags out, that this is the third or fourth time markets have made this shift since the war began.