RE: Trump reversal recovery10 Apr 2025 08:08
Hammered 75p to 50p due to Trump macro nonnses
Valuation £120mlm is ludicrous
Key to value creation is selling DIS at +7.5x EBITDA. This would give us a +$150m war chest to pay down debt, continue with 10% BBs, and to invest in Search. SP would easily break £1 and if they can get Search back to double digit growth, alongside dd growth in Comparison segment then in 2026 we'll have +$60m EBITDA with zero debt, 10% less shares (225m), and +$60m in cash. With those numbers you're looking at EV:EBITDA of 5 at £1.25. Business will be streamlined and have plenty of cash to push harder in Search and Comparison segments. Shinez has been a disaster and they need to come clean on wtf happened and where things currently stand with that business and any legal recourse. Not rocket science. Mgt team have truly f@cked things up but definitely a very easy solution to get us back to the offer price. They just need to focus on doing a DIS deal @+7.5x EBITDA, fix Search, and try to recoup costs on Shinez. Even $10m would give us another 10% jump in sp.