NPV of Montenchundra28 Oct 2019 09:03
Could people please stop blathering on about a $188m NPV for the Montenchundra license. This is lazy at best and highly dishonest at worst.
This number came from an old broker report from October 2018 and was assuming at least 3 things.
1. It was a Base Case Scenario
2. It was risk weighted for things like not even getting the permit (which we got on Nov 20, 2018, after this report was released)
3. It was assuming a spot price for Palladium at $950 per ounce.
We are now moving towards 2020 and the world has changed since then. Palladium is now worth more than Gold. The squealing of the bankers to get involved in these plays are deafening.
Spot price is $1,775 and rising due to high demand and shortages and since the broker note, profits on this not only get derisked, but the margins at this price go up several fold and so does the asset value.
Eurasia also announced this year and last month that it is making moves to increase it’s resources several fold. Note we have billions in reserves already.
The note was also not assuming an outright sale, for which we would get far more without having to dilute shareholders.
So you can multiply that old value, many, many times. This could reach closer to £1/share on sale than where it is now.