3,000,000 patients29 May 2018 16:51
Scientific literature indicates that approximately 60-70% of patients diagnosed for Lupus are Antibody Positive. These proportions were seen in the Europe cohort (60.8% of patients were Antibody Positive) and could therefore be considered as representative of the overall Lupus population.
Lupus was effective (71,1% v 48.8%) in a statistically significant way, for patients who were Antibody Positive.
The overall Lupus population is estimated to be 5,000,000 worldwide, so 60% Antibody Positive of that is 3,000,000.
Only about 15,000 patients receive treatment and the Benlysta revenue is about $400,000,000, $26,666 per patient, Let us be super conservative and assume that we can provide Lupuzor at $2,666 per patient, being one tenth of the cost of Benlysta. That gives us market revenue of $8,000,000,000.
As the man said. This is a multi billion marketplace.
Trolls or not trolls, this can be massive. Time will tell.
GLA DYOR