RE: Rns28 Mar 2019 14:59
southseabubble, the closest I have come to ramping is my post that Rose could probably sell the Paradox asset for a multibag of the current sp. I base this on the CPR.
“On 22 June 2018, Rose announced a Competent Person's Report ("CPR") and Maiden Contingent Resource by Gaffney Cline & Associates ("GCA") on the Rose acreage covered by the 3D seismic, approximately 17,250 acres of the 80,000 acres held. The CPR estimated a 2C Contingent Resource, net to Rose, of 9.25 MMBbl of oil and 18.50 Bscf of gas, and an unrisked pre-tax Net Present Value (NPV10) on the 2C Resources, net to Rose, of US$122 million. The CPR focused solely on one single reservoir - the Cane Creek reservoir (the "CCR" or "Clastic 21") - of the multiple prospective reservoirs within the Paradox Formation.”
$122m NPV, net to Rose, on one, single reservoir, out of many. That is 50 times the current mcap. Just for one reservoir. Now, would I trust Idiens to sell it? Not for a nanosecond. David Sefton is a completely different proposition. Even if he just asset strips Rose, winds it up and returns capital to shareholders at one tenth of the value of just one reservoir, that would be a five bagger.
I hope he picks this up and runs with it, but even in a fire sale, I can make money from these levels.
No, not ramping at all. Simply pointing out that the mcap is more than fifty times lower than the CPR on a fraction of the total assets.
The sp truly deserved to be where it was, yesterday. Idiens has been useless and destroyed shareholder value and shareholder sentiment. Let’s see what the new bod can do with this.
Note that I am not saying that talented, experienced management, with an enviable track record in raising finance, WILL make a huge success of Rose- just that they MIGHT make a huge success of Rose, given the potential of the asset. Much the same as you think there can be another 100-1 consolidation.
I have no interest in other PIs buying. I bought an additional 1m at 1.2p this morning. Happy to let those sit with the rest of my holding. We should know within a few weeks as to who is nearer the mark. Who knows? You could be right and Rose may fold.
:-))