Member Info for Just_My_Opinions

Dropping back on a gap up happens nearly every time regardless of what's happening the market. A gap up is simple... people who bought on the close, or aftermarket have an unrealised gain, many take the profit, the gap gets closed.

Now we see if Boris Johnson has an ounce of Principle. He needs to step down now!

It's a dictatorship, no other word for it.

As Brexit Secretary, he must have looked at Twitter, and though oh sh*t if she's sinking this ship, I don't want to be the Captain haha

https://news.sky.com/story/david-davis-resigns-as-brexit-secretary-11430705

Well if the GBP is 1.5% up or more. I will agree with you

QZ,

If you think Left wing vs Right wing can't affect the market, then best of luck to you. It's affecting politics, leadership and markets all over the world. I would list it all but you'll just rubbish it anyway. So we'll agree to disagree

Oh I know it's more than 2.7 Million mate. That was based on the 2011 political census. I project a bear minimum of 4.55 Million by 2021, but probably a lot higher.

Just as Christian isn't a race, nor is Christianity. If a Muslim leaves Islam, what race does that make he or she then?

Muslim isn't a race, neither is Islam. The Islamic religion spans every race on the planet. And immigration is clearly a voting issue, it was the number one issue on for Brexit according to successive polls.

Probably due to the EU's policy on taking in over 1 million men of fighting age and passing them off as refugees. This is also why Merkel took 6 months to form a government, and why her approval rating is at a record low... and why only last week she was fighting for political survival.

0.25% is a very small move for the GBP. I trade FX, there's no way that could be considered evidence of the markets approval on the Remain dressed up as Brexit deal.

If it was up probably 1.5% rapidly... not a slow movement over several days, if it had just opened 1.5% or more I would say that was the market reacting.

Anna Soubry has given her approval to the deal... if she likes it that's the best proof I've seen for it being a betrayal of the referendum result.

She's argued relentlessly against Brexit since the vote result haha

I watched Farage's show today live on the LBC. He said he expects Article 50 to be suspended. If it is he will return to full time politics. If the UK hasn't left by 29/03/2019 I assume they would need to suspend Article 50... if so Farage will be back.

And on Sharia Law, it's a numbers game. The UK fertility rate is 1.8, the replacement rate for a population to replace itself is 2.1. So right now the UK's population is not replacing itself, which means our culture will die with us over time unless it comes back up to 2.1.

However 1.8 is the average, it's not the same for all demographics. Muslims have a 2.9 fertility rate which means not only is their population replaced, it's also growing. 2.9 - 1.8 / 1.8 X 100 = 61.11%. So the Muslim population is growing 61.11% faster than the average for Non Muslims. Whilst the rest of the population on average doesn't replace itself. And that's not even including immigration, that's just those already here. With immigration it's roughly 68.75% if using the figures from the 2001 to 2011 Census of England and Wales, it doesn't include Scotland and Northern Ireland either, albeit they will be small considerations.

Jewish people have a slightly higher fertility rate than Muslims, but they are only 300,000 in size, where as Muslim are 2.7 Million, so Muslim is the fastest growing population in the UK. Even with a declining fertility rate, the Muslim fertility rate has never dropped below 2.1 in a single Western country ever.

And that's maths, not opinion. Even allowing for variances, the gap is so big it won't matter.

They can laugh if they want mate. But the right wing has recently taken control of Austria, Hungary, Poland, Italy, Slovenia, Estonia, Czech Republic and the USA.

I bet there were many people in those respect countries laughing to, until things changed... I know they were for months with Trump. If you believed the polls on the lead up to it, Trump had no chance. That didn't stop him becoming president. Our country has been stuck in it's ways.

But denying the result of a democratic vote is going to be the defining moment. Even the maths is on Leaves side.

405 Constituencies had a majority for Leave.
242 Constituencies had a majority for Remain.

Leave got 62.5% of the Constituencies.
Remain only got 37.5% of the Constituencies.

That's a 25% Margin ahead for leave. Obviously the vote was proportionate voting, but if anywhere near that number of Constituencies that had voted for leave reject both the Conservatives and Labour.

Politics would be completely changed in the UK. I think the above is a very realistic thought process.

If you think it's going to be that simple for Remain you're on another planet. 17.4 Million people don't just simply quit. The country will end up with a political revolution, Conservatives and Labour slaughtered at the ballot box... and the right wing reversing all their fudging.

I know I will never vote either Conservatives or Labour again... and I've lost count now how many times I've seen that on Twitter, Facebook and heard on the LBC. I can count on one hand the number of Brexiteers who are saying it's not so bad.

The political fight is only just beginning. Just as the Remoaners wanted a Neverendum... we will be the same. Only we have the democratic vote on our side, so we'll be more determined.

The FTSE in general is roughly where it started at the beginning of the year. A lot of uncertainty in the market. If the Trade War doesn't start getting sorted, sooner or later the tariffs are going to come through in the data. There's already signs of it.

When it comes through on most global economic metrics, the market will crash.

The EU would crumble under the pressure I mean, not UK haha

I think we should hard Brexit, leave absolutely everything to do with the EU... that's what leaving was supposed to mean. There was no fudging offered on the ballot paper.

1. Go on to WTO terms.
2. Aggressively lower corporation tax.
3. If the EU didn't come to it's senses and then negotiate... slap tariffs on any tariffs they put on us. The trade war's already started anyway.
4. Team up with the USA so that every time the EU hits either of us, we hit the EU simultaneously.
6. Forge massive deals with the USA to get us through the trade war.
7. Devalue our pound so the EU can't compete with both the lower pound value and lower corporation tax.
8. Forge trade deals with the rest of the world, India, China etc

We could turn the UK into one of the biggest manufacturing nations again, like another industrial revolution. I'm certain if we did all that, the UK would crumble under the pressure and the other countries would start to leave one by one.

But Carlsberg don't do British Prime Ministers, or Party's. Instead we have Treason the Maybot Appeaser May and a bunch of selfish toffs who put themselves and their party before country.

I'd rather be on the life boat just now... than trying to leave when there's not enough life boats to go around.

Parliamentary arithmetic should be irrelevant. Parliament authorised the people to decide, parliament should be nothing other than the vehicle to implement what the people decided. If parliamentary arithmetic was even going to come into it, then the people should never have been given a referendum in the first place.

To deviate from that in anyway is not implementing the democratic result. The ballot paper didn't ask whether we wanted a Hard or Soft Brexit or anything in between. It asked two simple questions.

It asked "Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or Leave the European Union?"

Remain a member of the European Union [ ]
Leave the European Union [ ]

That means retain absolutely nothing from the EU at all. The Leave vote has been fudged into something closely resembling what we already have, there's zero doubt about that by me.

Put it the other way... if Remain had won, and leave was still trying to say we should do a soft remain, lets get rid X, Y or Z but keep everything else, it would be shot down in flames and not even entertained.

"Most just waiting for the last generation to die so rhey can enjoy it more."

Honestly I don't agree with that at all. The majority of the 200,000 strong ISIS army were youth. It's logical to think what you're saying will happen, but in reality this is not what really happens.