RE: Broker Note15 May 2024 15:18
Oak Securities Broker Note cont'd - 16 April 2024
>> Q3’24 Low Cost and Risk Multi-Target Exploration Well
Yesterday’s news announcing the appointment of Petroleum
Consultants LLC puts the Company on track to spud a low-cost
exploration well (~$2.5mm) in Q3’24. The well is targeting a
multi-stacked play concept with four separate prospective
horizons.
Helium has been proven regionally and in the vicinity of the
Asset, meaning that the Geological Chance of Success
(“COSG”) is higher than would otherwise be expected; the
Amsden formation alone is estimated to have a COSG of 42%.
>> Strong Management
The Management has extensive experience in the helium sector,
which, more importantly, crosses the technical and commercial
divide. We consider the team at Helix to be a feature that
differentiates it from its peers.
>> Positive Operating and Sales Environment
Montana is a mature oil and gas basin, making helium
exploration and development easier and lower cost than
would otherwise be expected.
Helium’s scarcity and the US’ position as a global swing producer
means that there is a perpetual excess of demand, generating
upward pressure on pricing.
While the helium market is opaque recent observations from the
USGS place helium conservatively at $420/mcf, but Open
Market and surge pricing continues to push prices towards
$1,000/mcf. Analysis shows that the helium price is the key
determinant of helium production economics.
>> Financing Sufficient for Three Wells and New Projects
The relative low cost of exploration wells, coupled with its recent
funding means that the Company is funded for potentially up
to three wells, which provides for either a follow up appraisal
programme, or accessing further projects.
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