RE: I have decided boring is good.18 Aug 2020 14:16
No debt, producing assets, Brent $45, only recently started paying dividends, performing much better than sector, its got takeover target at £2 written all over it.
Quite difficult to take government bail outs and pay a dividend at the same time but a share buyback might be less sensitive and better value long term.
The current underlying price is 2.25p based on BPC and the CERP SP will converge towards the end of July. That said I expect the SP to be range bound 1.5-2p for most of July as Schroder and a few others off load so there’s no hurry to buy CERP at current levels because it will be back at 1.7p in a few days.
20m 2P reserves and some decent prospects slam next door to Trinity and no debt so I wouldn’t entirely call CERPs price crazy. Their biggest problem is lack of cash and printing money.
Watch out for Schroder selling, they’ve got 9.5%. It’s actually really good opportunity, share price repeatedly squeezed but then rises as the backstop value is currently c2.2p
RE: Best time to buy a mining exploration company like SOLG?2 Mar 2020 12:17
It depends on how the construction is funded and how highly geared the company is. Sure drawdown of debt and commencement of development is exciting but it dramatically raises the risk profile so if anything goes wrong its equity holders that take the hit.
The key objective of the Saffron well is to test the Lower Cruse (500ft sandstone) updip from UBOT-1 (drilled in 1936 200 bopd), targeting 11mmbo recoverable, worth 4p (?) per share.