Lloy18 May 2018 20:52
You have to stay head of the curve .
"Morgan Stanley calls it �the end of easy,� that witching hour in global stock markets when economic growth is slowing, the Federal Reserve is tightening, and inflation is ticking up. After a long bull run, strategists the world over are getting nervous -- and watching for the top.
And over in Tokyo, a warning is starting to flash.
A feared rotation is taking hold, as investors dump the shares that propelled the good times, such as industrials and technology companies, in favor of an entirely different class of firms: those needed no matter how bad the economy gets. When investors become less optimistic about the future, the theory goes, that�s where they turn.
Yoshinori Shigemi, a global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management Japan Ltd., has been to this rodeo before. And he�s alert to the danger.
�No one can really tell whether global stocks will go into a bear market,� Shigemi said. �But when Japanese defensives outperform, it can be a leading indicator.�"
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-17/a-warning-signal-for-global-stock-markets-is-flashing-in-japan