RE: Convertible Bonds12 Apr 2018 16:26
IJWT, I think I said SXX may not follow the same route to conclusion, but outlined the current parallels as in "You will note.." and, of course, the PMO refinancing is the stuff of legends.
However, the subject was "SIPP`s schooling" and if pursued, the knowledge gained would show that it is a complex subject where the PIs` normal expectations do not seem to be fulfilled, yet the CB holders, who seem to prefer coupon to equity, are happy to cash up and move on early.
We could talk about SXX perhaps clearing the path to their second debt tranche, but let's stay with HUR.
Monday we were told about their current vision of "What comes next". Very little of that will be sanctioned until the imminent new Chairman is in place, if I heard DrT correctly. But if they cannot run at 30k until they have paid for a solution to the gas, and they have drilling options to take up, then I do not see that there will be a cash pile to keep the lights on and buy out BHs, so I currently expect the equity dilution solution.
Of course, there is always the possibility of cash from a JV/FI or a TO endgame.